Articles and Chapters

Published and forthcoming articles:

Fiscal Legibility and State Development: Theory and Evidence from Colonial Mexico. (with Francisco Garfias). 2026. American Journal of Political Science. 70(1): 5–20.

The Jesuit Expulsion: A Double-Edged Sword for State Authority in New Spain. (with Francisco Garfias). 2025. World Development. 195: 107048. Part of a special issue on “Complexity in Institutional Reform” ed. Jean-Paul Faguet.

The Politics of Decentralization Level: Local and Regional Devolution as Substitutes (with Joan Ricart-Huguet). 2023. World Politics. 75(2): 353–389.

When State Building Backfires: Elite Divisions and Collective Action in Rebellion (with Francisco Garfias). 2022. American Journal of Political Science. 66(4): 977–992

From Conquest to Centralization: Domestic Conflict and the Transition to Direct Rule (with Francisco Garfias). 2021. Journal of Politics. 83(3): 992–1009

Epidemics, Rent Extraction, and the Value of Holding Office (with Francisco Garfias). 2020. The Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy: 1(4): 559–583 (Online appendix)

Locational Fundamentals, Trade, and the Changing Urban Landscape of Mexico (with Jennifer Alix-Garcia) 2020. The Journal of Urban Economics. 116. (Final submitted version)

Emigration and Collective Action 2019. The Journal of Politics. 81 (4): 1210–1222 (Final submitted version)

Labor Scarcity, Land Tenure, and Historical Legacy: Evidence from Mexico (with Jennifer Alix-Garcia). 2018. The Journal of Development Economics. 135: p. 504–516. (Final submitted version)

Book chapters and invited contributions:

State Building in Historical Political Economy (with Francisco Garfias) 2023. In The Oxford Handbook of Historical Political Economy. Ed. Jeffery Jenkins and Jared Rubin

Persistence and Place: History and Geography in Political Economy (with Jennifer Alix-Garcia). 2019. The Political Economist, Newsletter for Section 25: Political Economy of the American Political Science Association, 15 (1), 2019. (Link to newsletter)

In progress:

Demobilization through Inaction: Bureaucratic Delay, Ambiguity, and Frustrated Collective Action. (Working paper available upon request)

“Persistence and Change in State Development” (with Francisco Garfias). Draft being prepared for The Oxford Handbook of State Building and State Capacity. Ed. Mark Dincecco and Yuhua Wang. Under contract.

“Climate, Conflict, and Imperial Governance: Evidence from the Late Aztec Empire” (with Francisco Garfias). Draft being prepared for a special issue at Frontiers in Human Dynamics on “Governance in Deep Time: Comparative Archaeological and Historical Perspectives.” Ed. David Carballo and Jessica Munson.

“Who Waits and Why? Demands, Delay, and Redistribution in Post-Revolution Mexico” (with María Paula Saffon Sanín)